STUDY 11
Opportunity at the Edge of the Map
"What happens to the research question at the city's growing edge."
ANALYSISCivic Technology2025
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Context
A study within the Civic Technology area of Dr. Okafor's wider research on daily mobility and access to opportunity, conducted in Lagos (peri-urban) over 2025.
The Question
QUESTION
"Do the patterns found in established neighbourhoods still hold in the fast-growing districts at a city's edge?"
Hypothesis
HYPOTHESIS
Peri-urban districts, where infrastructure is newest and least formalised, will show the widest gap between distance and actual access.
Method
Data
Findings
Peri-urban districts show the widest gap between raw distance and reported access.
MODERATE CONFIDENCEDataset
Sample
212 wards scored
Method
Variable
distance-access gap by district type
Observation
Peri-urban wards were, on average, no farther from opportunity sites than established wards, yet reported markedly lower access.
What We Know / What We Still Don't Know
WHAT WE KNOW
Growth at a city's edge outpaces the infrastructure needed to convert proximity into real access.
WHAT WE STILL DON'T KNOW
How this gap changes as peri-urban infrastructure matures over the next several years.
Publication
This study has not yet produced a publication record.