AMARA OKAFOR
FOLLOW THE QUESTION.
STUDY 12

The Last Mile Is Not the Same for Everyone

"A study of how distance, transport cost, waiting time and infrastructure quality combine to shape access to work and education."

FIELD ANALYSISUrban Mobility2026
Location
Lagos, Abuja
Period
2026 (ongoing)
Research Area
Urban Mobility
SIZE: WIDTH:

Context

A study within the Urban Mobility area of Dr. Okafor's wider research on daily mobility and access to opportunity, conducted in Lagos, Abuja over 2026 (ongoing).

The Question

QUESTION

"How does daily mobility shape access to opportunity in fast-growing cities?"

Hypothesis

HYPOTHESIS

The final stretch of a journey — the 'last mile' between a transit stop and a destination — carries a disproportionate share of a journey's cost, and that cost falls unevenly across neighbourhoods.

Method

Data

Findings

The last mile of a journey is where infrastructure gaps concentrate most sharply.

PRELIMINARY CONFIDENCE
Sample
212 wards scored
Variable
infrastructure quality within 800m of destination
Observation
Infrastructure quality drops off more steeply in the final stretch of a journey than across the journey as a whole, in the wards sampled so far.

What We Know / What We Still Don't Know

WHAT WE KNOW

Early field analysis suggests the last mile is not a minor add-on to a journey — it behaves like a distinct, harder journey of its own.

WHAT WE STILL DON'T KNOW

How much of this effect is specific to Lagos and Abuja, and whether it holds once the full sample is analysed.

Publication

This study has not yet produced a publication record.